Baker Hughes Co
BKRdata completeness 88%11 fiscal years on fileThe thesis, from the filings
Baker Hughes Co earns about 10% on invested capital. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $20.5B1 | $21.2B2 | $25.5B3 | $27.8B3 | $27.7B3 |
| Net income | −$219M4 | −$601M5 | $1.94B6 | $2.98B6 | $2.59B6 |
| Operating cash flow | $2.37B7 | $1.89B8 | $3.06B9 | $3.33B9 | $3.81B9 |
| Capital expenditure | $856M10 | $989M11 | $1.22B12 | $1.28B12 | $1.27B12 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | $1.52B7 | $899M8 | $1.84B9 | $2.05B9 | $2.54B9 |
| Total debt | $40M13 | $677M14 | $148M15 | $53M16 | $689M16 |
| Cash & equivalents | $3.85B17 | $2.49B18 | $2.65B18 | $3.36B18 | $3.72B18 |
| Diluted shares | — | — | — | — | — |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
10% avg · 5y
FY21 1%FY22 -1%FY23 14%FY24 21%FY25 15%
It earned an average 10% on invested capital over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.
seeing a moat in the numbers →Management signal · capital allocation
— shares · 5y
Total debt has risen 1623% over the same window.
reading capital allocation →Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.
iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
no diluted share count — cannot compute per-share value
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
no diluted share count
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
Sources — the receipts
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001701605-24-000033 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001701605-25-000035 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001701605-26-000007 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001701605-24-000033 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001701605-25-000035 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001701605-26-000007 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001701605-24-000033 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001701605-25-000035 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001701605-26-000007 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001701605-24-000033 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001701605-25-000035 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001701605-26-000007 (PaymentsToAcquireProductiveAssets)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001701605-23-000044 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001701605-24-000033 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001701605-25-000035 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001701605-26-000007 (DebtCurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001701605-25-000035 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
- 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001701605-26-000007 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)