Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp.

BIOXdata completeness 88%9 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. earns about 3% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 54% over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $9.48 and $10.24 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$209.5M1$334.8M2$420.1M3$464.8M3$335.1M3
Net income−$6.87M4−$7.2M5$18.8M6$4.28M6−$55.4M6
Operating cash flow−$6.21M7−$17.5M8$2.59M9$41.7M9$49.9M9
Capital expenditure$2.81M10$3.46M11$11.4M12$9.79M12$5.64M12
Free cash flow (derived)−$9.01M7−$21M8−$8.77M9$31.9M9$44.3M9
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$36M13$33.5M13$48.1M14$44.5M15$32.7M15
Diluted shares41.1M45.9M62.8M62.8M63.2M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$41.98
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$8.76
Free cash flow it threw off
$7
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $41.98 of net worth that earned you −$8.76 and generated $7 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
3% avg · 5y
FY21 17%FY22 7%FY23 8%FY24 3%FY25 -20%

It earned about 3% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+54% shares · 5y

Share count is up 54% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $9.48 and $10.24 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$10.24
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$31.9M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$9.48
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$31.9M
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $9.48
The three cases
Bear0.0%$7.73
Base5.0%$9.48
Bull10.0%$11.57

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001104659-23-117743 (Revenue)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001104659-24-112589 (Revenue)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001104659-25-108999 (Revenue)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001104659-23-117743 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001104659-24-112589 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001104659-25-108999 (ProfitLossAttributableToOwnersOfParent)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001104659-23-117743 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001104659-24-112589 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001104659-25-108999 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001104659-23-117743 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001104659-24-112589 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001104659-25-108999 (PurchaseOfPropertyPlantAndEquipmentClassifiedAsInvestingActivities)
  13. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001104659-23-117743 (CashAndCashEquivalents)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001104659-24-112589 (CashAndCashEquivalents)
  15. 20-F · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001104659-25-108999 (CashAndCashEquivalents)