BayCom Corp

BCMLdata completeness 88%10 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

BayCom Corp earns about 330% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $22.37 and $174.42 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$81.6M1$107.1M2$126.3M3$131.7M3$135.4M3
Net income$20.7M4$23.7M5$27.4M6$23.6M6$23.9M6
Operating cash flow$10.4M7$39.6M8$30.8M9$30.4M9$31.8M9
Capital expenditure$1.31M10$843,00011$2.12M12$1.7M12$1.75M12
Free cash flow (derived)$9.12M7$38.8M8$28.7M9$28.7M9$30.1M9
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$379.7M13$176.8M14$307.5M14$364M14$206.5M14
Diluted shares10.9M13.1M12.1M11.3M11.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$308.04
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$21.77
Free cash flow it threw off
$27.37
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $308.04 of net worth that earned you $21.77 and generated $27.37 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
330% avg · 5y
FY21 FY22 22%FY23 898%FY24 FY25 71%

It earned about 330% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+1% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $22.37 and $174.42 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$174.42
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$28.7M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$103.87
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth20.0%
  • fcfBase$28.7M
Earnings Power Value
$22.37
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$23.7M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$38.87
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $103.87
The three cases
Bear0.0%$56.07
Base20.0%$103.87
Bull20.0%$103.87

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001730984-24-000028 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001730984-25-000017 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001730984-26-000016 (InterestAndDividendIncomeOperating)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001730984-24-000028 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001730984-25-000017 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001730984-26-000016 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001730984-24-000028 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001730984-25-000017 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001730984-26-000016 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001730984-24-000028 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001730984-25-000017 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001730984-26-000016 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001730984-25-000017 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001730984-26-000016 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)