Binah Capital Group, Inc.

BCGdata completeness 88%3 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Binah Capital Group, Inc. earns about -3% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 2% over 3 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $0.35 and $3.44 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$159.9M1$164.4M2$182M2
Net income$571,0003−$5.29M4$2.31M4
Operating cash flow$2.55M5−$617,0006$5.15M6
Capital expenditure$80,0007$85,0008$61,0008
Free cash flow (derived)$2.47M5−$702,0006$5.09M6
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$7.62M9$8.49M9$10.7M9
Diluted shares16.6M17.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$10.76
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$1.36
Free cash flow it threw off
$3
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $10.76 of net worth that earned you $1.36 and generated $3 of cash last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-3% avg · 3y
FY23 FY24 -32%FY25 27%

It earned about -3% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+2% shares · 3y

Share count is up 2% over 3 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $0.35 and $3.44 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$3.44
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$2.47M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$3.22
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$2.47M
Earnings Power Value
$0.35
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$571,000
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$0.98
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $3.22
The three cases
Bear0.0%$2.71
Base5.0%$3.22
Bull10.0%$3.82

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001410578-25-000604 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-037897 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001410578-25-000604 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-037897 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001410578-25-000604 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-037897 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001410578-25-000604 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-037897 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001104659-26-037897 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)