AMREP CORP.

AXRdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'investmentsAtFairValue'; no data for concept 'netInvestmentIncome'; no data for concept 'dividendsPaid'

The thesis, from the filings

AMREP CORP. earns about 14% on invested capital, comfortably above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 74876% over 5 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $24.43 and $36.87 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Revenue$58.9M1$48.7M2$51.4M3$49.7M4$52.8M4
Net income$15.9M5$21.8M6$6.69M7$12.7M8$10.3M8
Operating cash flow$15.5M9$6.39M10$10.7M11$10.2M12$12.9M12
Capital expenditure$1.29M13$131,00014$457,00015$583,00016$102,00016
Free cash flow (derived)$14.2M9$6.26M10$10.3M11$9.66M12$12.8M12
Total debt$2.03M17$44,00018$35,00019$26,00020$18,00021
Cash & equivalents$15.7M22$20M23$29.7M24$39.5M25$52.3M25
Diluted shares7,1935,3075.3M5.4M5.4M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$260.97
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$19.08
Free cash flow it threw off
$23.69
Debt you’d be carrying
$0.03

10 shares is a claim on $260.97 of net worth that earned you $19.08 and generated $23.69 of cash last year, against $0.03 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
14% avg · 5y
FY22 23%FY23 8%FY24 8%FY25 16%FY26 13%

It earned about 14% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — comfortably above the cost of funding, a moderate advantage.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+74876% shares · 5y

Share count is up 74876% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has fallen 99% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.5.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $24.43 and $36.87 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$34.83
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$10.3M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$36.87
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$10.3M
Earnings Power Value
$24.43
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$12.7M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$33.49
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $36.87
The three cases
Bear0.0%$36.87
Base0.0%$36.87
Bull5.0%$43.45

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-04-30 · accession 0001410578-23-001494 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-04-30 · accession 0001410578-24-001102 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-04-30 · accession 0001410578-25-001515 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2025-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-086659 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-04-30 · accession 0001410578-23-001494 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-04-30 · accession 0001410578-24-001102 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2024-04-30 · accession 0001410578-25-001515 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2025-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-086659 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2022-04-30 · accession 0001410578-23-001494 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2023-04-30 · accession 0001410578-24-001102 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2024-04-30 · accession 0001410578-25-001515 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2025-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-086659 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-04-30 · accession 0001410578-23-001494 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-04-30 · accession 0001410578-24-001102 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2024-04-30 · accession 0001410578-25-001515 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2025-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-086659 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2022-04-30 · accession 0001410578-22-001969 (LongTermDebt)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2023-04-30 · accession 0001410578-23-001494 (LongTermDebt)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2024-04-30 · accession 0001410578-24-001102 (LongTermDebt)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2025-04-30 · accession 0001410578-25-001515 (LongTermDebt)
  21. 10-K · period ending 2026-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-086659 (LongTermDebt)
  22. 10-K · period ending 2022-04-30 · accession 0001410578-23-001494 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  23. 10-K · period ending 2023-04-30 · accession 0001410578-24-001102 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  24. 10-K · period ending 2024-04-30 · accession 0001410578-25-001515 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  25. 10-K · period ending 2025-04-30 · accession 0001104659-26-086659 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)