AXON ENTERPRISE, INC.
AXONdata completeness 100%17 fiscal years on fileData notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'
i. The business — what you’d actually own
| Figure | FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $863.4M1 | $1.19B2 | $1.56B3 | $2.08B3 | $2.78B3 |
| Net income | −$60M4 | $146.9M5 | $175.8M6 | $377M6 | $124.7M6 |
| Operating cash flow | $124.5M7 | $235.4M8 | $189.3M9 | $408.3M9 | $211.3M9 |
| Capital expenditure | $49.9M10 | $55.8M11 | $59.6M12 | $78.8M12 | $136.3M12 |
| Free cash flow (derived) | $74.6M7 | $179.6M8 | $129.6M9 | $329.5M9 | $75.1M9 |
| Total debt | — | — | $677.1M13 | $1.36B14 | $3.62B14 |
| Cash & equivalents | $356.3M15 | $353.7M16 | $598.5M17 | $454.8M17 | $1.2B17 |
| Diluted shares | 66.2M | 72.5M | 75.5M | 78.6M | 82.4M |
Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).
ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
You’d own
0.000012%
of the whole company
Your share of last year’s profit
$15.13
Your share of its debt
$439.66
Your share of free cash flow
$9.12
iii. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$67.33
assumptions (10)
- riskFreeRate4.5%
- equityRiskPremium5.0%
- beta100.0%
- equityWeight85.0%
- costOfDebtSpread1.5%
- taxRate21.0%
- terminalGrowth2.5%
- projectionYears10
- fcfGrowth20.0%
- fcfBase$129.6M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$23.28
assumptions (10)
- riskFreeRate4.5%
- equityRiskPremium5.0%
- beta100.0%
- equityWeight85.0%
- costOfDebtSpread1.5%
- taxRate21.0%
- terminalGrowth2.5%
- projectionYears5
- fcfGrowth20.0%
- fcfBase$129.6M
Earnings Power Value
$18.8
assumptions (8)
- riskFreeRate4.5%
- equityRiskPremium5.0%
- beta100.0%
- equityWeight85.0%
- costOfDebtSpread1.5%
- taxRate21.0%
- normalizedEarnings$146.9M
- growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$36.57
assumptions (1)
- grahamMultiplier2250.0%
Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →
iv. The price question — last, on purpose
What does today’s price assume?
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years20.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.78%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $23.28
Default growth 20.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.
Sources — the receipts
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001069183-24-000006 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001069183-25-000075 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-011360 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001069183-24-000006 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001069183-25-000075 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-011360 (NetIncomeLoss)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001069183-24-000006 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001069183-25-000075 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-011360 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001069183-24-000006 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001069183-25-000075 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-011360 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
- 10-K/A · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001069183-25-000075 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-011360 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
- 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001069183-24-000006 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K/A · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001069183-25-000075 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
- 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001628280-26-011360 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)