Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc.

APAMdata completeness 100%15 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'investmentsAtFairValue'; no data for concept 'netInvestmentIncome'; no data for concept 'gainsOnRealEstateSales'; no data for concept 'realEstateImpairment'

The thesis, from the filings

Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. earns about 197% on invested capital, far above its ~9% cost of capital, but has diluted owners by 10% over 5 years — a real edge showing up in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $40.86 and $55.29 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$1.23B1$993.3M2$975.1M3$1.11B3$1.2B3
Net income$336.5M4$206.8M5$222.3M6$259.7M6$290.3M6
Operating cash flow$398.6M7$312.6M8$253M9$372.8M9$172M9
Capital expenditure$2.44M10$6.64M11$2.26M12$1.57M12$371,00012
Free cash flow (derived)$396.1M7$306M8$250.8M9$371.3M9$171.6M9
Total debt$200M13$200M14$200M15$190M15
Cash & equivalents$200.8M16$143.2M17$178.5M17$268.2M17$255.5M17
Diluted shares59.9M62.5M63.5M64.9M65.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$66.89
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$44.25
Free cash flow it threw off
$26.16
Debt you’d be carrying
$28.96

10 shares is a claim on $66.89 of net worth that earned you $44.25 and generated $26.16 of cash last year, against $28.96 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
197% avg · 5y
FY21 601%FY22 80%FY23 92%FY24 111%FY25 103%

It earned about 197% on invested capital, year after year, against a ~9% cost of capital — the footprint of real pricing power. Competition usually drags returns like this back down; here it hasn't.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+10% shares · 5y

Share count is up 10% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has held roughly steady.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.5.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $40.86 and $55.29 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$51.21
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$250.8M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$55.29
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$250.8M
Earnings Power Value
$40.86
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$259.7M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$22.26
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.97%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $55.29
The three cases
Bear0.0%$55.29
Base0.0%$55.29
Bull5.0%$68.42

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001517302-24-000015 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001517302-25-000015 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001517302-26-000047 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001517302-24-000015 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001517302-25-000015 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001517302-26-000047 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001517302-24-000015 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001517302-25-000015 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001517302-26-000047 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001517302-24-000015 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001517302-25-000015 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001517302-26-000047 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001517302-24-000015 (LongTermDebt)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001517302-25-000015 (LongTermDebt)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001517302-26-000047 (LongTermDebt)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001517302-25-000015 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001517302-26-000047 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)