Alpine Auto Brokers Inc.

ALTBdata completeness 50%5 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'capex'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'; no data for concept 'pretaxIncome'

The thesis, from the filings

Alpine Auto Brokers Inc. earns about -65% on equity, but has diluted owners by 44450% over 5 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2014FY 2015FY 2020FY 2021FY 2022
Revenue$359,5241$171,6271$02
Net income−$42,9313−$35,9993−$12,8354−$345,3565−$29,7405
Operating cash flow$25,8216−$24,0056−$12,8357−$45,3568−$29,7408
Capital expenditure
Free cash flow (derived)
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$55,9819$31,9769$010
Diluted shares1.0M1.0M44.5M44.5M445.5M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
−$0
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$0
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on −$0 of net worth that earned you −$0 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
-65% avg · 5y
FY14 -52%FY15 -78%FY20 FY21 FY22

It earned an average -65% on equity over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+44450% shares · 5y

Share count is up 44450% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2014-12-31 · accession 0001077048-16-000089 (Revenues)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0001829126-21-010476 (Revenues)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2014-12-31 · accession 0001077048-16-000089 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K/A · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0001829126-22-001320 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001829126-23-001461 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2014-12-31 · accession 0001077048-16-000089 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K/A · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0001829126-22-001320 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001829126-23-001461 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2014-12-31 · accession 0001077048-16-000089 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2020-12-31 · accession 0001829126-21-010476 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)