Thunder Power Holdings, Inc.

AIEVdata completeness 63%4 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'capex'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. earns about -121% on invested capital, but has diluted owners by 830% over 4 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue
Net income$404,6161−$1.82M2−$2.5M3−$2.12M3
Operating cash flow−$528,1764−$658,7295−$1.23M6−$1.51M6
Capital expenditure
Free cash flow (derived)
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$546,6327$18,3307$52,6168$10,0938
Diluted shares5.5M34.9M44.7M50.7M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$0.95
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$0.42
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $0.95 of net worth that earned you −$0.42 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-121% avg · 4y
FY22 FY23 -297%FY24 -31%FY25 -35%

It earned an average -121% on invested capital over 4 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+830% shares · 4y

Share count is up 830% over 4 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-020453 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-026239 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-041108 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-020453 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001213900-25-026239 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-041108 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001213900-24-020453 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001213900-26-041108 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)