ACCESS Newswire Inc.

ACCSdata completeness 100%18 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'investmentsAtFairValue'; no data for concept 'netInvestmentIncome'; no data for concept 'gainsOnRealEstateSales'; no data for concept 'realEstateImpairment'

The thesis, from the filings

ACCESS Newswire Inc. earns about 0% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, with a roughly flat share count — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $5.17 and $11.29 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$21.9M1$23.5M2$24.5M3$23.1M4$22.6M4
Net income$3.29M5$1.93M6$766,0007−$10.8M8$4.29M8
Operating cash flow$4.73M9$4.02M10$3.06M11$3.16M12$558,00012
Capital expenditure$62,00013$66,00014$25,00015$19,00016$20,00016
Free cash flow (derived)$4.67M9$3.95M10$3.04M11$3.14M12$538,00012
Total debt$22M17$19.9M18$15.9M19$2.56M19
Cash & equivalents$23.9M20$4.83M20$5.71M21$4.1M22$3.03M22
Diluted shares3.8M3.7M3,8163.8M3.9M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$78.63
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$11.12
Free cash flow it threw off
$1.39
Debt you’d be carrying
$6.62

10 shares is a claim on $78.63 of net worth that earned you $11.12 and generated $1.39 of cash last year, against $6.62 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
0% avg · 5y
FY21 42%FY22 4%FY23 -5%FY24 -35%FY25 -5%

It earned about 0% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+1% shares · 5y

Share count is roughly flat over 5 years — little dilution, little buyback. Total debt has fallen 88% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.5.0

The 3 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $5.17 and $11.29 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story; the Graham Number is a stricter floor, not a target.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$10.45
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$3.04M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$11.29
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth0.0%
  • fcfBase$3.04M
Earnings Power Value
$5.17
assumptions (8)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • normalizedEarnings$1.93M
  • growthAssumed0.0%
Graham Number
$14.03
assumptions (1)
  • grahamMultiplier2250.0%

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years0.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.97%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $11.29
The three cases
Bear0.0%$11.29
Base0.0%$11.29
Bull5.0%$13.99

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 0.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-002330 (Revenues)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-002824 (Revenues)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000843006-25-000012 (Revenues)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001683168-26-002018 (Revenues)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-002330 (NetIncomeLoss)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-002824 (NetIncomeLoss)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000843006-25-000012 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001683168-26-002018 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-002330 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-002824 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  11. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000843006-25-000012 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001683168-26-002018 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-002330 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  14. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-002824 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  15. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000843006-25-000012 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001683168-26-002018 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 10-K · period ending 2022-12-31 · accession 0001654954-24-002824 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  18. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0000843006-25-000012 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  19. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001683168-26-002018 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  20. 10-K · period ending 2021-12-31 · accession 0001654954-23-002330 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  21. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001683168-26-002018 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  22. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001683168-26-002018 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)