Maase Inc.

MAASdata completeness 100%5 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'interestExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

Maase Inc. earns about -57% on invested capital, below its ~9% cost of capital, and has bought back 92% of its shares over 5 years — no moat visible in the numbers. The estimate methods put fair value between $17.15 and $18.6 a share.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$29.6M1$28.2M2$15.8M3$163.1M4$109.1M5
Net income−$7.14M6−$9.06M7−$6.01M8−$39.9M9−$27.4M10
Operating cash flow−$438,00011−$1.43M12−$25.4M13$7.95M14$9.98M13
Capital expenditure$1.31M15$708,00016$121,00017$593,00018$774,00019
Free cash flow (derived)−$1.74M11−$2.13M12−$25.5M13$7.35M14$9.2M13
Total debt$13.5M20$11.5M21
Cash & equivalents$40.4M22$29M23$164.5M24$40.7M25$11.5M26
Diluted shares90.5M90.5M1.0M2.6M7.6M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$116.69
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$35.95
Free cash flow it threw off
$12.09
Debt you’d be carrying
$15.05

10 shares is a claim on $116.69 of net worth that earned you −$35.95 and generated $12.09 of cash last year, against $15.05 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-57% avg · 5y
FY21 -74%FY22 -74%FY23 FY24 -36%FY25 -44%

It earned about -57% on invested capital against a ~9% cost of capital — below the cost of funding. The numbers show no moat.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
−92% shares · 5y

Share count is down 92% over 5 years — management has been buying back stock, quietly handing owners a bigger slice. Total debt has fallen 15% — deleveraging.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0

The 2 estimate methods that apply put fair value between $17.15 and $18.6 a share. They rest on different assumptions, so where they diverge is the story.

DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
$18.6
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears10
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$7.35M
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
$17.15
assumptions (10)
  • riskFreeRate4.7%
  • equityRiskPremium5.0%
  • beta100.0%
  • equityWeight85.0%
  • costOfDebtSpread1.5%
  • taxRate21.0%
  • terminalGrowth2.5%
  • projectionYears5
  • fcfGrowth5.0%
  • fcfBase$7.35M
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

v. The price question — last, on purpose
Is today’s price fair?
See live price ↗
Type a price. The ledger answers.
Or set your own belief
FCF growth, next 5 years5.0%
Discount rate (WACC)8.93%
Terminal growth2.5%
At your growth, a share is worth $17.15
The three cases
Bear0.0%$13.8
Base5.0%$17.15
Bull10.0%$21.14

Bear/base/bull growth = 0% / filed history / history + 5pp. Type a price to see the return each case implies.

Default growth 5.0%= this company’s own filed history (median-to-median FCF CAGR, clamped 0–20%). Your adjustments are recorded anonymously. They become the “what do owners actually believe” dataset.

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001213900-21-049907 (Revenues)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001213900-22-063027 (Revenues)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-23-078965 (Revenues)
  4. 20-F · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-098740 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax)
  5. 20-F · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001213900-25-103497 (Revenues)
  6. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001213900-21-049907 (ProfitLoss)
  7. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001213900-22-063027 (NetIncomeLoss)
  8. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-23-078965 (NetIncomeLoss)
  9. 20-F · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-098740 (NetIncomeLoss)
  10. 20-F · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001213900-25-103497 (NetIncomeLoss)
  11. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001213900-21-049907 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  12. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001213900-22-063027 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  13. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-25-103497 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  14. 20-F · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-098740 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  15. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001213900-21-049907 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  16. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001213900-22-063027 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  17. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-23-078965 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  18. 20-F · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-098740 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  19. 20-F · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001213900-25-103497 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  20. 20-F · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-098740 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  21. 20-F · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001213900-25-103497 (ShortTermBorrowings)
  22. 20-F · period ending 2021-06-30 · accession 0001213900-21-049907 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  23. 20-F · period ending 2022-06-30 · accession 0001213900-22-063027 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  24. 20-F · period ending 2023-06-30 · accession 0001213900-25-103497 (CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalents)
  25. 20-F · period ending 2024-06-30 · accession 0001213900-24-098740 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  26. 20-F · period ending 2025-06-30 · accession 0001213900-25-103497 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)