EMERGENT METALS CORP.

EGMCFdata completeness 63%3 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'capex'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'epsDiluted'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'; no data for concept 'incomeTaxExpense'

The thesis, from the filings

EMERGENT METALS CORP. earns about -139% on invested capital, with a roughly flat share count. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2015FY 2016FY 2017
Revenue
Net income−$474,9531−$272,1931$314,3381
Operating cash flow−$36,9102−$334,4612−$54,0852
Capital expenditure
Free cash flow (derived)
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$3,2263$73,4703$18,5723
Diluted shares7.8M7.9M8.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$0.44
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
$0.39
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $0.44 of net worth that earned you $0.39 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-139% avg · 3y
FY15 -214%FY16 FY17 -64%

It earned an average -139% on invested capital over 3 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+2% shares · 3y

Share count is roughly flat over 3 years — little dilution, little buyback.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 20-F · period ending 2015-12-31 · accession 0001137171-18-000059 (ProfitLoss)
  2. 20-F · period ending 2015-12-31 · accession 0001137171-18-000059 (CashFlowsFromUsedInOperatingActivities)
  3. 20-F · period ending 2015-12-31 · accession 0001137171-18-000059 (CashAndCashEquivalents)