CTT PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDINGS, INC.

CTTHdata completeness 63%5 fiscal years on file

Data notes: no data for concept 'revenue'; no data for concept 'capex'; no data for concept 'totalDebt'; no data for concept 'interestExpense'; no data for concept 'incomeTaxExpense'; no data for concept 'pretaxIncome'

The thesis, from the filings

CTT PHARMACEUTICAL HOLDINGS, INC. earns about -26927% on equity, but has diluted owners by 130% over 5 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2010FY 2011FY 2012FY 2013FY 2014
Revenue
Net income−$1.1M1$3.74M2−$1M3−$18,9114−$672,1624
Operating cash flow−$1.67M5−$316,1326−$1.03M7−$2098−$72,2508
Capital expenditure
Free cash flow (derived)
Total debt
Cash & equivalents$46,1919$569,37810$12,09110$82310$81,17911
Diluted shares8.5M9.5M9.4M9.4M19.5M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$0.77
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$0.34
Free cash flow it threw off
Debt you’d be carrying

10 shares is a claim on $0.77 of net worth that earned you −$0.34 last year.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on equity
-26927% avg · 5y
FY10 -81554%FY11 819%FY12 FY13 FY14 -45%

It earned an average -26927% on equity over 5 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+130% shares · 5y

Share count is up 130% over 5 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
only 0 years of FCF (need ≥3) — model not applicable
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2010-12-31 · accession 0001204459-12-000549 (NetIncomeLoss)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2011-12-31 · accession 0001062993-13-001090 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2012-12-31 · accession 0001062993-14-000591 (NetIncomeLoss)
  4. 10-K/A · period ending 2013-12-31 · accession 0001553350-15-001055 (NetIncomeLoss)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2010-12-31 · accession 0001204459-12-000549 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2011-12-31 · accession 0001062993-13-001090 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  7. 10-K · period ending 2012-12-31 · accession 0001062993-14-000591 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  8. 10-K/A · period ending 2013-12-31 · accession 0001553350-15-001055 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  9. 10-K · period ending 2010-12-31 · accession 0001062993-13-001090 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  10. 10-K · period ending 2011-12-31 · accession 0001062993-14-000591 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)
  11. 10-K/A · period ending 2014-12-31 · accession 0001553350-15-001055 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)