CoreWeave, Inc.

CRWVdata completeness 100%3 fiscal years on file
The thesis, from the filings

CoreWeave, Inc. earns about -1% on invested capital, but has diluted owners by 127% over 3 years — worth asking whether the growth reaches owners. The cash-flow models don't apply cleanly here — the ledger says why below.Whether it’s worth owning at today’s price is the last question — and yours to answer, below.

i. The business — what you’d actually own
FigureFY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$229M1$1.92B1$5.13B1
Net income−$594M2−$863M2−$1.17B2
Operating cash flow$1.83B3$2.75B3$3.06B3
Capital expenditure$2.94B4$8.7B4$10.3B4
Free cash flow (derived)−$1.11B3−$5.95B3−$7.25B3
Total debt$15.9B5$42.7B5
Cash & equivalents$217M6$1.36B6$3.13B6
Diluted shares192.0M218.0M436.0M

Superscripts are receipts. Each links to the SEC filing the number came from (full list at the bottom).

ii. Your slice — ownership made literal
If you owned
shares
Net assets behind them
$76.49
your share of equity
Profit it earned you last year
−$26.77
Free cash flow it threw off
−$166.31
Debt you’d be carrying
$980.41

10 shares is a claim on $76.49 of net worth that earned you −$26.77 and generated −$166.31 of cash last year, against $980.41 of debt.

iii. Is this a good business?
Moat signal · return on invested capital
-1% avg · 3y
FY23 FY24 -2%FY25 -0%

It earned an average -1% on invested capital over 3 years. Compare that to what it costs to fund the business.

seeing a moat in the numbers →
Management signal · capital allocation
+127% shares · 3y

Share count is up 127% over 3 years — owners have been diluted. Worth asking what they got for it. Total debt has risen 170% over the same window.

reading capital allocation →

Signals, not verdicts — read from the filings above. Numbers don’t prove a moat; they show its footprint. You decide.

iv. What it’s worth — engine v0.1.0
DCF · Growth Exit 10Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
DCF · Growth Exit 5Y
not applicable
3y-median FCF non-positive — growth-exit DCF not applicable (see EPV)
Earnings Power Value
not applicable
normalized (5y-median) earnings non-positive — EPV undefined
Graham Number
not applicable
diluted EPS missing or non-positive — Graham Number undefined

Different models answer different questions — which to trust when →

Sources — the receipts
  1. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001769628-26-000104 (RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax)
  2. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001769628-26-000104 (NetIncomeLoss)
  3. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001769628-26-000104 (NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities)
  4. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001769628-26-000104 (PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment)
  5. 10-K · period ending 2024-12-31 · accession 0001769628-26-000104 (LongTermDebtNoncurrent)
  6. 10-K · period ending 2023-12-31 · accession 0001769628-26-000104 (CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue)